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John Wheeler, WDAY, Published October 10 2013

Weather: Forecast of active season of hurricanes was a bust

The hurricane season of 2013 has been blissfully calm with just a few very weak systems, none of which affected the United States. The 2013 hurricane season forecast was a total bust! This spring, most tropical season forecasters predicted a very active Atlantic Basin summer and fall, but it has just not happened at all.

Too much dry and dusty air blew across the Atlantic from North Africa this summer, and a cold pool of water developed west and southwest from Portugal. Both of these factors made it very hard for tropical systems to form and sustain themselves, and neither of these factors was anticipated very well.

This is an illustration of why weather forecasting is hard. There are so many factors that can affect a forecast. It is hard for a human, a computer program or both working in tandem to consider every possible factor correctly.


Have a weather question you’d like answered? Email weather@wday.com,

or write to WDAY Stormtracker, WDAY-TV, Box 2466, Fargo, ND 58108

Read the blog at http://stormtrack.areavoices.com/.