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Daryl Ritchison, WDAY, Published May 26 2013

Weather Talk: Analysis points to a cooler, rainier summer than 2012’s

Memorial Day weekend is often considered the start of the summer season and has many people wondering what to expect from the weather the next few months.

Analyzing weather and oceanic conditions in the past that are similar to recent occurrences and then looking at the resultant summer conditions leads me to believe that temperatures this summer will finish near the average.

The average temperature for June, July and August is 68.8 degrees. Of course, average here means swings from blistering heat to cool, chilly, rainy days. But averaged over the three months, I feel we will be close to that number.

Seasonal precipitation tends to be more difficult to predict as one low-pressure system or even an individual heavy thunderstorm can change the seasonal rainfall in localized areas dramatically. But average to above-average rainfall in most areas is what my analysis is suggesting for the summer season. If correct, this would mean the summer of 2013 will be much cooler and rainier than the summer of 2012.

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